30 Sep 2005 04:57:54
Key Horse Picks for Friday September 30 2005

Good morning, everyone --

What is the Key Horse method?

It's not about winning, it's about making money. I find a horse with an
excellent chance of finishing in the money. I use him as my Key Horse
with several others in exotic wagers. My Key Horse makes me money when
he finishes in the top three or four. When a long shot beats him, so
much the better.

I have six picks in three races today, all at Belmont. You can see all
of these picks at:


To see them, just register at:


My Free Picks for today:

Belmont 4th Race 2:33pm US Eastern Time

Guns Drawn #3 (ML 5-1) This 2-year-old showed good speed in his debut
race August 25 at Saratoga where he finished third after boring out
coming into the stretch. His trainer John Kimmel is excellent with
second-time-out starters, winning at a 20% rate. Kimmel has gotten
three good works from Guns Drawn since his last race, the last a bullet
on September 20. Kimmel also has acquired the services of Edgar Prado
as his jockey, which is a step up from his last race, where C.
Sutherland rode. Guns Drawn may be the horse to beat today and may pull
an upset.

Barbados #5 (ML 2-1) is the horse that Guns Drawn is going to have to
upset here. This 2-year-old colt makes his debut race and will likely
be the odds-on favorite with Todd Pletcher as his trainer and J.R.
Velazquez in the irons. Also: he's sired by the win-early Forestry. As
a yearling, he sold for the astronomical price of $3 million. For
workouts, his September 4 bullet at 4 furlongs timed at :462 handily
from the gate (1/51), extraordinary time for a 2-year-old from the
gate. This tells me the horse can really run. It's also the day of
reckoning for Barbados: his owner Michael Tabor will be trying to get
some of that $3 mil back. Finally, Pletcher adds first-time Lasix which
should give the colt that extra boost. (posted 0745 Sep 30)

Best of luck today and always to everyone. To your Wealth!

-- KO Jim

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